Pricing engine

Oracle Bookmaker — external-feed odds with overround

Polymarket-fed odds with a configurable overround and a full circuit-breaker safety stack.

House edge~5-7% via overround (minimum 5%) plus fees

The Oracle Bookmaker prices markets from an external oracle feed (e.g. Polymarket) and applies a configurable overround. It pairs live, real-money reference odds with a safety stack designed for operators who want accurate pricing without setting lines by hand.

How it works

  1. 1

    Odds are sourced from an external oracle feed and a configurable overround (minimum 5%) is applied to guarantee margin.

  2. 2

    Live oracle verification at bet time rejects any bet that deviates more than 5% from the cached price.

  3. 3

    A circuit breaker auto-suspends a market on price jumps greater than 10%; TWAP smoothing with polling jitter dampens manipulation.

  4. 4

    Large bets can be held for a configurable delay and re-verified against the oracle after the delay.

Best for

Operators who want market-accurate odds on real-world events without staffing a trading desk, with strong protection against stale-price and oracle-manipulation abuse.

Risk controls

  • Minimum 5% overround enforced
  • >10% price-jump circuit breaker with auto-suspend
  • Live oracle re-verification (rejects >5% deviation)
  • TWAP smoothing + polling jitter; delayed re-check on large bets

Frequently asked

Where do the odds come from?
From an external oracle feed such as Polymarket, with a configurable overround applied on top. You are never hand-setting lines, but you keep full control of the margin.
How is oracle manipulation handled?
Bets are re-verified against the live oracle at placement (rejecting >5% deviation), a circuit breaker auto-suspends on >10% jumps, and TWAP smoothing with polling jitter reduces the value of short-lived price spikes.

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